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From time to time, there is a need for advice in Financial Services Practice, is now definitely one of those days. There are two different problems must act together to determine what changes in the future conduct of our business: the economy and reform. Here are ideas, how to navigate their way through the maze. This can be done quite safely. With careful, the considerate service and innovation, financial services professionals serving the public and to experience satisfaction and profitability. Let's start with some comments on the general economic conditions of the first. As we grow up with issues of reform, when we go through them, and the way in which we advise members of the public on saving, insurance, investment and retire.
1. To begin the discussion on the economy, we all need and actual extent of the address exactly what we are against as a nation, and we as practitioners. As I write this, during the winter of 2009, unemployment rates, including employed persons and entrepreneurs, has passed 10%, 15 to 16 million people. Add another 6 to 7 percent of what contains locate part-time workers, the disabled, pensioners and working age who has left. We are looking for approximately 22 million Americans did not actively take his reward. Closure of businesses, retail, wholesale and services, offices, shops, department stores, supplemented by the severity of the overall problem. It is known that there are many, drawing on savings, the early retirement / Social Security income, receive extended unemployment benefits and pulled on a full pension. Ie loss of productivity is simply overwhelming. All this reduces the taxes are the financing of the cities, counties, states and the federal government needs to budget. Of course, this always leads to deterioration of the annual deficits and unfunded liabilities. Finally, the federal government over the past 30 + years of deficit-spending policies, all of this expansion. A look at USDEBTCLOCK.ORG tell the whole story in real time. Take a look and there are a few things.
Public debt is around $ 12 + trillion, while showing the federal budget, in the vicinity of $ 3 + trillion. Take a closer look, and it turns out that 1.7 trillion is tax dollars, while the difference in the annual debt - Sales of cash, printing money. The unfunded liabilities of Medicare / Medicaid, prescriptions, social security, top $ 106 trillion! To get an idea of what the meaning of these debts, consider it the funds to be paid by contract, the right to participate in life at that time in these programs, we say, now and in the next 20 to 30. And it is growing as baby boom begins, control. This is just the chosen treatment of issues and takes no figures on the levels below the federal programs and subsidies, state and silence in the context of deep concern for inflation, tax increases, brain drain, not to mention the perspective of incentives, industry handouts / loans and funds for individuals and NGOs, under current legislation, such as new and existing mortgage mortgage relief.
We read, see and hear the word "sustainable" a lot. Another set of "devaluation of the currency." Still another is "Breaking the buck. 'Are these numbers really important to us? Well, yes. To give an example: interest rate alone only on the national debt is roughly $ 340 billion per year or approximately 12% of the state. And it will be much higher. Tell me that a family makes, say, $ 75,000 per year. With this indebtedness of households, families who pay about $ 9000 per year. to pay only interest on its debt to reduce itself to? Recently on CNBC, a professor of financial economics as the U.S. dollar as currency, what it is. Watch almost any TV stations, and record all go to gold. But many Americans to roll just as if everything will be fine. Let us hope that miracle. The American people through some very difficult times during the last 250 years was + and have managed to rebound. It could happen again. But this time things are very different and difficult.
Is all this just that the Americans would roll, play dead and let the government take care of everything? As a nation we are for the default file and a sort of national bankruptcy? This may be a legitimate Senario, and it could be resolved through the creation of a new currency in the future, after all, paid close to worthless U.S. currency. But you people and the people there, wounded --- Bath. Russia, Panama, Argentina, Germany, Cuba (and there are other examples out there), everything went through this and know people there, how bad it is: a national nightmare that we can not wake up. Specific reference to Argentina, the collapse of the local currency, the peso, lead not long ago, the fact that the black markets, swap meets, trade for essential goods with hard assets like gold, barter and trade in the species, not to mention increasing violence and crime. In determining the new prices and new wages for some new currency, the resulting quantities of goods and services very disadvantageous for individuals and businesses. One can hope and pray that this is not the case, or at least a couple of years away. Some experts believe that a part 2 to 20 years read ----: No one knows for sure! In other words, this leads to strategies that we in the financial sector can and should look like are going to meet, and maybe. If it sounds so sad, and way too silly, let me give you assurance that the reader has an author of research conducted, it can be to all people and will certainly not prevent everything, when he goes! Independent corraboration and documentation of all of this can be easily accessed via the Internet, libraries, university paper / archives and other public records.
2nd Here are some practical suggestions for Financial Services Professionals. While nobody can predict the future, describing this part of the story best anywhere within two time frames below: A. 2010 to 2014-2015. B. In addition, it should be 2020-2025. This time division established for specific reasons. At the time of this writing, is the U.S. government prepared to go shopping in one place in force national health care / health insurance reform. It does not matter whether you are for this legislation or other reforms are necessary and will very soon no matter what the last act turns out to be.
Care Rationing is actually already a few years and become stronger for all. There is really no other viable way for some kind of reform efforts, not the control is not significantly increased costs to insurance and senior citizens aged over 65 years. who can not afford either to be insured, can not be, or act as if they are not protecting themselves (check out their local hospital ER, so we had to pay, and the hospital will continue its activities already escalation of the exemption provisions of the Act). The estimated costs for that because it will be the law of the country, warts and all, you see, is between 1 and $ 2 trillion over the next 10 years. It will no doubt at the end of 2019 much more. If not, they will be alone among all American law programs in the history of the Republic is at or below the CBO estimates will cost. Look for more tax, tax on small paychecks, very slow recovery of employment, very fragile stock markets, more federal monetary creation, higher inflation, weaker USDollar.That is the context in which we find ourselves and determine what we do as financial advisors and implementers . Good luck. That is, we will discuss Part A - the next 3 years.
Part A. During the next three years will be more or less normal activities continue in an atmosphere of persistent inflation and higher taxes. As doctors, we can expect the same or similar coverage of the market as we do now. Adverse selection (is) taking into account existing circumstances, still be there to meet the premiums on life, individual, family, group health, disability coverage, long term care insurance, retirement (more on that later), not to speak of. prominent, we do not need to be made by our diligence, due diligence, financial planning, documentation, monitoring compliance and what is best for the client. There are fewer will help people and businesses to work with, and they will be less money to do things. Remember that the customer always comes first. Words to live by.
Certainly, we owe it to those who leave us with their business partners the benefit of knowing what will, when we know what awaits them and for us. In most cases we will try to continue as before - for example, in the coming years. Then things start to become very different. Let us move on to Part B beyond.
Part B, 2014-2015, drop health insurance adverse selection and past conditions not play a role in the health underwriting process, at least for most individuals, families, small group health insurance and Medicare supplementary coverage. We are all very likely in education, certification tests and more state / federal regulation. It is an up to all this. As long as the insurance industry remains in the game, we should be able to earn as much or more money. Nobody knows what the effects of certain American. Health Insurance Company, Co-op, or the Exchange would have on the viability of health insurance. The CBO says that there are some very small percentage of the population in public plans registration options. It remains to be seen. Many people with a non-registration fees and penalties.
What we know about public plans, and elimination of pre-existing conditions is the example we have in Texas. This option is called the Texas Public Health Insurance Risk Pool, the jurisdiction of the State of Texas. In the pool, there are no plans to stop past relationships get a pretty good major medical insurance coverage to the contrary, it actually has a major medical condition or conditions that come into question. Approximately 29,000 Texans currently enrolled, the millions who have commercial coverage of individual, family or group coverage. Even with state and federal grants are awarded each year, making the premiums for these plans 2,5-4 times more than what it may cost for a similar business plan and coverage is not as good. In a word, it's really expensive. It may be that, perhaps because most Americans are well-qualified general of medical evidence of insurability, however, to accept the consequences of all the candidates from the commercial insurance companies do not send the whole person / group of sky-high premiums (the result of which this writer does not agree). Those who can not afford health insurance, you may receive federal grants. The fact is that nobody really has a clue. We are not on MA and or State health care / insurance plans. Not very good work. Adverse selection elimination is a major factor leading to rationing of care and increase premiums.
For insurance professionals, marketing opportunities may only prove to be positive. Bringing security to the public millions of previously uninsured and underinsured young people can be a good thing. Additional health insurance for seniors will be there. We have to stay in the game and hard work do not always replaced by the Federal Competition. All the people out there will certainly still need competent financial professional, perhaps even more than today. There are people in professional positions in economics, demography, medicine, actuarial science and other disciplines who believe that not all the public can drive a car, insurance option, above all know that private companies would, ingenuity, innovation, efficiency, private sector, although you count the expulsion of the public option. Look, how the post office, Medicare, Medicaid, VA hospitals were working, Social Security and other benefits. Remember that $) 106 billion (and climbing the unfunded liability, and where people have taken, and the American people. Then keep this debt is due to the increase in the federal budget! Sounds like a great effectiveness of these authors.
Finally, it is this prediction in the form of earned compensation and renewal. Does not look to sell for a sudden, just because of the reform. This writer has made the experience that most people are very cautious and suspicious of new programs and tend to stick to what they are as long as they can until they have confidence in these programs, or forced into it. Even then, many if not most, may maintain the current health insurance in some form, what the reform did not. The fact that this author was with great surprise here in Harris County, Texas, in 1970 the county government replaced an outdated and completely inadequate number of social benefits with full coverage. Almost all of the additional coverage that a large number of employees in 1965 were run of 1970 remains on the books for many years. It is likely, will happen in our national future. So take heart.
Previously been the subject of currency debasement, the creation of trillions of dollars from the Fed pulled out of thin air, and inflation (around 2.5% per year, by the way), concerning, particularly as regards procurement of goods, services and Accumulation / Distribution finance retirement. This leads into the stadium in pension funds, fund formation, equity markets, cash value life insurance, annuities, precious metals, commodities, bank deposits, money market instruments, treasury, and the like. This includes non-tax qualified and tax-qualified retirement vehicles IRAS and 401 (k) s, as an example. One proposal is the recommendation that a portion of the capital of a customer or placed in the portfolios of pension funds into hard assets. Gold and silver comes to mind. We could move a precious metals specialist for it. Hedging and the potential benefits are two objectives that are used in significance.
Everything is open to new ideas because of changed circumstances. Her method is, of course, will change, foresight and creativity are the leader. If we carry on individual needs, or need to be more extensive planning meetings and presentations, all of our recommendations will be different compared to previous years. It is a bit like walking in quicksand. And that applies to all products, implementing, not just health insurance arena. So be careful out there.
Is how we function change in ethical behavior of companies. Collaborate with other professionals. It is a big task ahead of us all, from now on.
This is by no means an exhaustive analysis of what lies ahead of us, but it's a start. Not taken on board, it gives us inspiration to continue the excellent advice and implementation of coverage for our customers and to offer potential customers. We, we are true professionals in a unique position to lead, advise, provide direction, clarify and eliminate ambiguity. No government bureaucrat can come close to what we do. Imagine!